According to ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI), Penn State is favored to defeat Boise State in their upcoming Fiesta Bowl matchup. The FPI gives the Nittany Lions a 65% chance to win, making them the clear favorites heading into the game. Despite Boise State’s impressive season, the prediction highlights Penn State’s strength on both sides of the ball, which could prove to be the difference in this high-stakes bowl game.
Penn State enters the contest with a solid track record in the 2024 season, boasting a well-balanced offense and a stingy defense. Quarterback Drew Allar and the Nittany Lions’ offense have been productive, while the defense has been one of the nation’s toughest units. These strengths give them an edge, as they look to advance to the College Football Playoff semifinals with a Fiesta Bowl victory.
On the other hand, Boise State, although a talented team, faces an uphill battle against a team as formidable as Penn State. The Broncos have impressed this season with their own high-powered offense and solid defensive play, but the FPI suggests that the challenge of facing a program with the depth and experience of Penn State could be too much.
While Penn State holds the statistical advantage, the FPI also acknowledges that Boise State is capable of pulling off an upset. The Broncos’ ability to execute key plays and capitalize on any mistakes could shift the momentum in their favor. Fans can expect an exciting and closely contested game, with the Nittany Lions slightly favored to come out on top.